Business & Economy

US national debt tops $40 trillion after 9-year doubling

Treasury's Debt to the Penny series closed at $40.07 trillion on August 26. USA Times' review of the daily ledger puts federal borrowing at $7.37 billion a day this fiscal year.

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US national debt tops $40 trillion after 9-year doubling

The total public debt of the United States closed at $40,069,751,423,220.72 on August 26, 2026, according to the Treasury Department's Debt to the Penny series, the daily accounting the government publishes of everything it owes.

The round number was crossed a week earlier. Treasury's daily reading first printed above $40 trillion on August 18, at $40.05 trillion, and it has stayed there since. That is the number that produced a week of coverage at CBS News, NPR and The Washington Post, most of it framed around how quickly the milestone arrived.

USA Times' review of Treasury's own daily series puts a figure on that speed. The federal debt has grown by $2.43 trillion in the current fiscal year through August 26, an average of $7.37 billion for every day since the fiscal year began on October 1, 2025. That is the pace, straight from the government's ledger, with no forecast in it.

What the daily ledger shows

Debt to the Penny is the plainest fiscal document Washington produces. It has one job, which is to state the closing balance, and it is published every business day. Reading it back across a decade gives the shape of the problem without any modelling assumptions.

Fiscal year end Total public debt outstanding Change from prior year
Sept 30, 2016 $19.57 trillion
Sept 29, 2017 $20.24 trillion +$0.67 trillion
Sept 28, 2018 $21.52 trillion +$1.28 trillion
Sept 30, 2019 $22.72 trillion +$1.20 trillion
Sept 30, 2020 $26.95 trillion +$4.23 trillion
Sept 30, 2021 $28.43 trillion +$1.48 trillion
Sept 30, 2022 $30.93 trillion +$2.50 trillion
Sept 29, 2023 $33.17 trillion +$2.24 trillion
Sept 30, 2024 $35.46 trillion +$2.29 trillion
Sept 30, 2025 $37.64 trillion +$2.18 trillion
Aug 18, 2026 $40.05 trillion +$2.41 trillion (partial year)

Source: US Treasury, Debt to the Penny. Fiscal years end September 30; the 2017, 2018 and 2023 rows use the last business day of the fiscal year. Figures rounded to the nearest $10 billion.

Line chart of total US public debt outstanding at each fiscal year end from FY2016 to FY2025, rising from $19.57 trillion to $37.64 trillion, with a final point at $40.05 trillion on August 18, 2026

Two things stand out in that series, and they point in different directions.

The first is the pandemic year. FY2020 added $4.23 trillion, by a wide margin the largest single-year increase in the table and nearly double any other year in it. That was emergency borrowing, and it was understood as such at the time.

The second is what happened afterwards. Borrowing did not return to its pre-2020 rate. Every fiscal year since 2022 has added between $2.18 trillion and $2.50 trillion, four consecutive years in a band that would have been an emergency figure in 2019. The pandemic raised the level of the debt once. The years since raised the slope.

Measured from the Treasury readings on either end, the debt took eight years and roughly eleven months to double, from $20.24 trillion on September 29, 2017 to $40.05 trillion on August 18, 2026.

Why the milestone arrived early

Forecasters had not expected $40 trillion until later. The Washington Post reported that the threshold was reached months ahead of projections, attributing part of the gap to revenue the government did not collect from tariffs that were subsequently invalidated, and part to higher bond yields raising the cost of new issuance.

Both explanations describe the same underlying arithmetic. The government spends more than it takes in, and the difference is borrowed. Spending is running more than $2 trillion above revenue this year, a gap that has to be financed at whatever rate the market asks on the day.

That rate is no longer near zero. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-3 at its July 28-29 meeting to hold the federal funds rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%, with three regional bank presidents dissenting on the grounds that inflation has now run above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years. Every dollar of debt that matures in this environment is refinanced at a cost the Treasury did not face when it was first issued.

The compounding effect of that shows up in the service cost. The United States now spends roughly $1.1 trillion a year on interest, slightly more than it spends on defence, a comparison drawn in CNN's and Al Jazeera's accounts of the milestone. Interest is not a discretionary line. It is paid before anything Congress votes on.

Who Washington actually owes

The $40 trillion headline figure conceals a split that matters for anyone reading the number as a measure of external dependence.

Of the $40.07 trillion outstanding on August 26, $32.31 trillion was debt held by the public and $7.76 trillion was intragovernmental holdings, according to the same Treasury release. The second category is money the government owes itself, principally the Social Security and Medicare trust funds, which hold special Treasury securities against future obligations.

Debt held by the public is the part sold into markets, and it is the part whose price is set by buyers who can decline. That figure has grown from $14.67 trillion at the end of FY2017 to $32.31 trillion now, meaning the market-facing portion has more than doubled over the same period in which the headline total doubled. The composition of the debt has not softened as it has grown.

What is actually decided here

The most useful way to read the $40 trillion mark is that it settles nothing and reveals no threshold. There is no level at which a fiscal alarm sounds, which is precisely what makes the number difficult to act on politically. The debt has grown by more than $2 trillion in each of the last four completed fiscal years under two different congressional majorities, which suggests the trajectory is a structural feature of the current tax and spending settlement rather than the product of any single decision.

What changes is the cost of carrying it. At near-zero rates a large debt is an accounting fact. At 3.5% to 3.75%, with $1.1 trillion in annual interest already exceeding the defence budget, it becomes a claim on the same appropriations everything else competes for. The relevant question is not when the debt becomes unpayable, but how much of each future budget is spoken for before the first vote is taken.

The next fiscal year ends on September 30, 2026. On the current daily pace, the Treasury's own series will read close to $40.3 trillion by then.

Cover photograph: James Earle Fraser's statue of Alexander Hamilton, the first Secretary of the Treasury, outside the Treasury Building in Washington. Photograph by Karen Nutini, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.

About the author

Daniel Reyes is a senior correspondent at USA Times, reporting on the economy, markets, housing, and American business.

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